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Red130
52572.6
308216.3
454913.2
Blue72
251114.2
248012.1
181635.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6954020408010012014013072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#1
72.63.0
51.854.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop72.6
End0.0
red by 37.5
1816
#10
35.20.7
33.734.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop35.4
End0.0
Second
3082
#26
16.35.0
9.814.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.4
End0.0
red by 2.1
2511
#43
14.21.1
13.714.8
Auto0.0
Teleop14.2
End0.0
Third
4549
#25
13.25.0
7.912.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.3
End0.0
red by 1.1
2480
#36
12.11.1
11.112.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.2
End0.0