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Red17
504115.4
250016.3
31008.4
Blue42
254519.4
298724.5
305819.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424102060801001742

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2500
#30
16.31.2
18.917.7
Auto0.6
Teleop15.7
End0.0
blue by 8.2
2987
#12
24.50.2
15.315.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop24.7
End0.0
Second
5041
#47
15.42.0
12.410.4
Auto0.0
Teleop15.3
End0.0
blue by 4.4
3058
#29
19.70.2
10.010.2
Auto0.9
Teleop18.8
End0.0
Third
3100
#57
8.42.0
10.08.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.5
End0.0
blue by 11.0
2545
#21
19.40.2
20.020.2
Auto0.2
Teleop19.2
End0.0