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Red32
551612.5
320223.4
327813.3
Blue16
251810.2
250814.4
499314.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3721060801003216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3202
#13
23.40.3
13.313.0
Auto0.1
Teleop23.3
End0.0
red by 9.0
2508
#55
14.40.7
8.88.1
Auto0.0
Teleop14.4
End0.0
Second
3278
#37
13.30.2
11.311.1
Auto0.1
Teleop13.2
End0.0
blue by 0.9
4993
#31
14.20.7
7.56.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.4
End0.0
Third
5516
#28
12.50.3
11.010.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.6
End0.0
red by 2.3
2518
#49
10.20.4
8.07.5
Auto0.5
Teleop9.7
End0.0