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Red14
329212.8
42296.6
270528.2
Blue14
543416.5
252911.2
37459.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions472104060801001201401414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2705
#14
28.21.5
24.723.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop28.4
End0.0
red by 11.7
5434
#38
16.51.0
12.511.5
Auto0.2
Teleop16.3
End0.0
Second
3292
#27
12.82.6
11.79.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.9
End0.0
red by 1.6
2529
#41
11.21.0
6.85.8
Auto0.5
Teleop10.7
End0.0
Third
4229
#59
6.62.6
8.45.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.6
End0.0
blue by 3.0
3745
#52
9.61.0
6.55.5
Auto0.3
Teleop9.3
End0.0