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Red24
34072.6
250248.8
453942.9
Blue74
249819.5
247027.2
308117.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions924601502002502474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.83.2
34.931.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop49.1
End0.0
red by 21.6
2470
#23
27.20.9
22.323.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.4
End0.0
Second
42.93.2
43.440.2
Auto1.3
Teleop41.6
End0.0
red by 23.3
2498
#24
19.51.6
14.416.0
Auto0.4
Teleop19.1
End0.0
Third
3407
#58
2.65.3
9.94.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.8
End0.0
blue by 15.1
3081
#46
17.80.9
18.419.3
Auto0.2
Teleop17.6
End0.0