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Red38
419824.2
222712.7
16722.6
Blue42
284623.1
286114.8
218132.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285301001502003842

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4198
#16
24.20.9
10.811.7
Auto0.1
Teleop24.1
End0.0
blue by 8.0
32.20.8
18.717.9
Auto0.7
Teleop31.5
End0.0
Second
167
#8
22.60.6
16.116.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop22.8
End0.0
blue by 0.5
2846
#17
23.10.5
20.319.8
Auto0.5
Teleop22.6
End0.0
Third
2227
#34
12.70.9
6.07.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.8
End0.0
blue by 2.1
2861
#39
14.80.8
12.011.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.0
End0.0