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Red16
286114.8
249819.5
248012.1
Blue22
303815.3
250814.4
25389.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3434202530351622

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2498
#24
19.51.6
12.010.4
Auto0.4
Teleop19.1
End0.0
red by 4.3
3038
#51
15.31.1
12.111.1
Auto0.2
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Second
2861
#39
14.81.6
13.011.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.0
End0.0
red by 0.4
2508
#55
14.41.1
13.112.0
Auto0.0
Teleop14.4
End0.0
Third
2480
#36
12.11.6
9.98.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.2
End0.0
red by 3.1
2538
#45
9.00.9
9.68.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.2
End0.0