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Red137
250248.8
324415.4
254519.4
Blue49
327813.3
181635.2
330014.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3651010015020013749

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.86.5
19.025.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop49.1
End0.0
red by 13.6
1816
#10
35.21.1
29.430.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop35.4
End0.0
Second
2545
#21
19.48.1
9.517.6
Auto0.2
Teleop19.2
End0.0
red by 5.1
3300
#33
14.31.4
8.910.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.3
End0.0
Third
3244
#35
15.48.1
11.219.3
Auto0.3
Teleop15.1
End0.0
red by 2.1
3278
#37
13.31.1
11.913.0
Auto0.1
Teleop13.2
End0.0