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Red49
499314.2
527116.1
422511.7
Blue66
363015.0
248012.1
250016.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373502060804966

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5271
#44
16.11.1
17.418.6
Auto0.2
Teleop15.9
End0.0
blue by 0.2
2500
#30
16.31.4
17.719.0
Auto0.6
Teleop15.7
End0.0
Second
4993
#31
14.21.1
6.87.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.4
End0.0
blue by 0.8
3630
#48
15.02.3
9.011.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Third
4225
#53
11.71.1
11.212.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.8
End0.0
blue by 0.4
2480
#36
12.12.3
12.214.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.2
End0.0