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Red12
28793.4
270528.2
318414.0
Blue24
251114.2
282320.5
31008.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41402030501224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2705
#14
28.21.5
23.121.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop28.4
End0.0
red by 7.7
2823
#22
20.50.9
18.918.0
Auto0.4
Teleop20.1
End0.0
Second
3184
#60
14.01.5
8.26.7
Auto0.1
Teleop13.9
End0.0
blue by 0.2
2511
#43
14.21.5
14.813.3
Auto0.0
Teleop14.2
End0.0
Third
2879
#56
3.42.5
11.18.6
Auto0.3
Teleop3.0
End0.0
blue by 5.0
3100
#57
8.41.5
8.06.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.5
End0.0