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Red44
300741.9
28559.1
543416.5
Blue72
327813.3
308117.8
205247.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63602040801001201404472

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.91.5
36.935.4
Auto0.5
Teleop41.4
End0.0
blue by 5.6
47.50.3
35.335.6
Auto0.5
Teleop47.0
End0.0
Second
5434
#38
16.51.5
11.510.0
Auto0.2
Teleop16.3
End0.0
blue by 1.2
3081
#46
17.80.3
19.319.6
Auto0.2
Teleop17.6
End0.0
Third
2855
#50
9.11.5
13.712.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.2
End0.0
blue by 4.2
3278
#37
13.30.3
11.111.4
Auto0.1
Teleop13.2
End0.0