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Red55
551612.5
16722.6
270528.2
Blue59
249819.5
305819.7
329933.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465401001502002503005559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2705
#14
28.20.3
21.621.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop28.4
End0.0
blue by 4.8
33.00.3
28.328.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop33.1
End0.0
Second
167
#8
22.60.3
16.717.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop22.8
End0.0
red by 2.9
3058
#29
19.70.3
10.711.0
Auto0.9
Teleop18.8
End0.0
Third
5516
#28
12.50.5
10.711.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.6
End0.0
blue by 7.0
2498
#24
19.50.3
16.016.4
Auto0.4
Teleop19.1
End0.0