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Red98
251321.6
250248.8
25389.0
Blue0
251114.2
42296.6
499314.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6322050100150200980

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.81.9
34.836.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop49.1
End0.0
red by 34.6
2511
#43
14.22.0
13.311.4
Auto0.0
Teleop14.2
End0.0
Second
2513
#15
21.63.2
17.020.2
Auto0.4
Teleop21.3
End0.0
red by 7.4
4993
#31
14.22.0
7.96.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.4
End0.0
Third
2538
#45
9.01.9
7.49.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.2
End0.0
red by 2.4
4229
#59
6.62.0
8.46.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.6
End0.0