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Red44
248012.1
284623.1
422511.7
Blue24
324415.4
28559.1
504115.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions523302060801001201404424

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2846
#17
23.10.4
24.323.9
Auto0.5
Teleop22.6
End0.0
red by 7.7
3244
#35
15.41.1
14.813.7
Auto0.3
Teleop15.1
End0.0
Second
2480
#36
12.10.6
14.513.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.2
End0.0
blue by 3.2
5041
#47
15.41.1
10.59.4
Auto0.0
Teleop15.3
End0.0
Third
4225
#53
11.70.6
12.411.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.8
End0.0
red by 2.6
2855
#50
9.11.1
12.211.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.2
End0.0