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Red44
422511.7
247027.2
28559.1
Blue66
252911.2
329933.0
308216.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455401001502002503004466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2470
#23
27.20.2
25.124.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.4
End0.0
blue by 5.8
33.00.9
28.629.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop33.1
End0.0
Second
4225
#53
11.70.3
11.811.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.8
End0.0
blue by 4.5
3082
#26
16.30.9
16.917.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.4
End0.0
Third
2855
#50
9.10.3
11.010.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.2
End0.0
blue by 2.1
2529
#41
11.20.9
9.310.2
Auto0.5
Teleop10.7
End0.0