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Red22
543416.5
308117.8
251114.2
Blue40
551516.4
250814.4
25157.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions472504060801001202240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3081
#46
17.80.6
19.719.1
Auto0.2
Teleop17.6
End0.0
red by 1.3
5515
#42
16.40.9
15.516.3
Auto0.1
Teleop16.4
End0.0
Second
5434
#38
16.51.0
14.713.7
Auto0.2
Teleop16.3
End0.0
red by 2.1
2508
#55
14.40.9
6.97.7
Auto0.0
Teleop14.4
End0.0
Third
2511
#43
14.21.0
11.410.4
Auto0.0
Teleop14.2
End0.0
red by 7.0
2515
#62
7.30.9
7.48.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.3
End0.0