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Red162
52572.6
320223.4
330014.3
Blue79
305819.7
286114.8
453942.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9156015020016279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#1
72.64.0
61.665.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop72.6
End0.0
red by 29.8
42.90.8
40.641.4
Auto1.3
Teleop41.6
End0.0
Second
3202
#13
23.46.6
16.823.4
Auto0.1
Teleop23.3
End0.0
red by 3.6
3058
#29
19.71.3
11.012.3
Auto0.9
Teleop18.8
End0.0
Third
3300
#33
14.36.6
9.916.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.3
End0.0
blue by 0.5
2861
#39
14.81.3
11.412.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.0
End0.0