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Red36
302616.2
251810.2
16722.6
Blue6
31008.4
345418.1
43609.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37320102050607080366

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167
#8
22.60.1
16.916.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop22.8
End0.0
red by 4.5
3454
#40
18.11.3
15.213.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.2
End0.0
Second
3026
#19
16.20.1
9.69.5
Auto0.9
Teleop15.3
End0.0
red by 6.5
4360
#54
9.81.3
8.57.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.8
End0.0
Third
2518
#49
10.20.1
10.910.8
Auto0.5
Teleop9.7
End0.0
red by 1.8
3100
#57
8.41.3
10.49.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.5
End0.0