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Red44
331329.9
52786.9
251321.6
Blue53
327813.3
329212.8
453620.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions523602060801001204453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3313
#11
29.90.6
22.922.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.9
End0.0
red by 9.7
4536
#32
20.11.1
16.217.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.3
End0.0
Second
2513
#15
21.60.6
20.219.6
Auto0.4
Teleop21.3
End0.0
red by 8.4
3278
#37
13.30.6
12.312.9
Auto0.1
Teleop13.2
End0.0
Third
5278
#61
6.90.6
8.17.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.0
End0.0
blue by 5.9
3292
#27
12.81.1
11.712.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.9
End0.0