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Red48
223219.8
34072.6
300741.9
Blue18
499314.2
222712.7
248012.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59310501001504818

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.90.7
36.936.1
Auto0.5
Teleop41.4
End0.0
red by 27.6
4993
#31
14.21.5
6.04.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.4
End0.0
Second
2232
#20
19.80.7
18.017.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop19.9
End0.0
red by 7.1
2227
#34
12.71.5
16.414.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.8
End0.0
Third
3407
#58
2.60.7
2.11.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.8
End0.0
blue by 9.5
2480
#36
12.11.5
13.912.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.2
End0.0