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Red52
42296.6
181635.2
383917.5
Blue8
303815.3
28793.4
363015.0
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62310204080100120140528

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1816
#10
35.20.5
34.134.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop35.4
End0.0
red by 19.9
3038
#51
15.32.4
16.614.2
Auto0.2
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Second
3839
#18
17.50.9
18.919.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.5
End0.0
red by 2.5
3630
#48
15.02.4
11.79.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Third
4229
#59
6.60.9
6.47.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.6
End0.0
red by 3.2
2879
#56
3.42.4
8.56.1
Auto0.3
Teleop3.0
End0.0