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Red28
251114.2
298724.5
331329.9
Blue26
363015.0
422511.7
223219.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35310102040506070802826

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3313
#11
29.90.2
15.615.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.9
End0.0
red by 10.0
2232
#20
19.80.5
11.811.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop19.9
End0.0
Second
2987
#12
24.50.2
9.89.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop24.7
End0.0
red by 9.5
3630
#48
15.00.5
11.611.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Third
2511
#43
14.20.2
10.410.3
Auto0.0
Teleop14.2
End0.0
red by 2.5
4225
#53
11.70.5
9.28.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.8
End0.0