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Red28
282320.5
251810.2
37459.6
Blue25
218132.2
28559.1
305819.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372802060801002825

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2823
#22
20.50.6
17.216.6
Auto0.4
Teleop20.1
End0.0
blue by 11.7
32.20.5
12.412.9
Auto0.7
Teleop31.5
End0.0
Second
2518
#49
10.20.6
10.610.0
Auto0.5
Teleop9.7
End0.0
blue by 9.5
3058
#29
19.70.5
9.39.8
Auto0.9
Teleop18.8
End0.0
Third
3745
#52
9.60.8
9.58.7
Auto0.3
Teleop9.3
End0.0
red by 0.5
2855
#50
9.10.5
8.89.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.2
End0.0