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Red148
329212.8
453942.9
329933.0
Blue112
284623.1
302616.2
250016.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions543802080100120140148112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.96.3
34.040.2
Auto1.3
Teleop41.6
End0.0
red by 19.7
2846
#17
23.14.7
17.021.7
Auto0.5
Teleop22.6
End0.0
Second
33.07.9
11.519.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop33.1
End0.0
red by 16.7
2500
#30
16.34.7
15.920.5
Auto0.6
Teleop15.7
End0.0
Third
3292
#27
12.87.9
8.116.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 3.4
3026
#19
16.24.7
9.013.6
Auto0.9
Teleop15.3
End0.0