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Red69
298724.5
284623.1
308117.8
Blue46
318414.0
383917.5
320223.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions654802040801001201401606946

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2987
#12
24.50.4
21.822.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop24.7
End0.0
red by 1.1
3202
#13
23.40.5
23.422.9
Auto0.1
Teleop23.3
End0.0
Second
2846
#17
23.10.2
23.323.6
Auto0.5
Teleop22.6
End0.0
red by 5.7
3839
#18
17.50.5
19.819.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.5
End0.0
Third
3081
#46
17.80.2
19.119.4
Auto0.2
Teleop17.6
End0.0
red by 3.8
3184
#60
14.00.3
9.49.1
Auto0.1
Teleop13.9
End0.0