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Red50
249819.5
31008.4
52786.9
Blue64
251321.6
308216.3
218132.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25640501001505064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2498
#24
19.51.4
15.617.0
Auto0.4
Teleop19.1
End0.0
blue by 12.7
32.20.3
22.622.9
Auto0.7
Teleop31.5
End0.0
Second
3100
#57
8.41.4
9.110.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.5
End0.0
blue by 13.2
2513
#15
21.60.3
19.619.9
Auto0.4
Teleop21.3
End0.0
Third
5278
#61
6.91.4
7.58.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.0
End0.0
blue by 9.4
3082
#26
16.30.3
17.818.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.4
End0.0