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Red0
551516.4
345418.1
248012.1
Blue20
28793.4
28257.3
254519.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43330206080020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3454
#40
18.11.9
13.912.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.2
End0.0
blue by 1.3
2545
#21
19.40.8
19.218.5
Auto0.2
Teleop19.2
End0.0
Second
5515
#42
16.41.9
16.314.4
Auto0.1
Teleop16.4
End0.0
red by 9.1
2825
#63
7.30.8
10.49.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.4
End0.0
Third
2480
#36
12.11.9
12.310.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.2
End0.0
red by 8.8
2879
#56
3.40.8
6.15.4
Auto0.3
Teleop3.0
End0.0