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Red66
453942.9
252911.2
327813.3
Blue117
282320.5
16722.6
363015.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67380208010012014016066117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.90.1
41.441.5
Auto1.3
Teleop41.6
End0.0
red by 20.3
167
#8
22.63.7
16.820.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop22.8
End0.0
Second
3278
#37
13.30.1
12.913.0
Auto0.1
Teleop13.2
End0.0
blue by 7.2
2823
#22
20.53.7
17.721.4
Auto0.4
Teleop20.1
End0.0
Third
2529
#41
11.20.1
10.210.3
Auto0.5
Teleop10.7
End0.0
blue by 3.8
3630
#48
15.05.7
9.315.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.0
End0.0