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Red52
181635.2
222712.7
250016.3
Blue83
205247.5
453620.1
247027.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions628401001502002505283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1816
#10
35.20.8
34.633.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop35.4
End0.0
blue by 12.3
47.50.0
41.241.2
Auto0.5
Teleop47.0
End0.0
Second
2500
#30
16.30.8
17.917.1
Auto0.6
Teleop15.7
End0.0
blue by 10.9
2470
#23
27.20.0
24.924.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.4
End0.0
Third
2227
#34
12.71.2
14.913.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.8
End0.0
blue by 7.4
4536
#32
20.10.0
17.217.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.3
End0.0