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Red134
499314.2
302616.2
205247.5
Blue49
252911.2
286114.8
254519.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions663705010015013449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.53.5
41.244.7
Auto0.5
Teleop47.0
End0.0
red by 28.1
2545
#21
19.40.9
18.519.4
Auto0.2
Teleop19.2
End0.0
Second
3026
#19
16.23.5
12.015.5
Auto0.9
Teleop15.3
End0.0
red by 1.4
2861
#39
14.80.9
13.914.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Third
4993
#31
14.25.1
10.515.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.4
End0.0
red by 3.0
2529
#41
11.20.9
10.311.2
Auto0.5
Teleop10.7
End0.0