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Red20
318414.0
303815.3
305819.7
Blue78
247027.2
551516.4
329212.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405001001502002503003504002078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3058
#29
19.71.2
17.416.2
Auto0.9
Teleop18.8
End0.0
blue by 7.5
2470
#23
27.21.4
24.926.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.4
End0.0
Second
3038
#51
15.31.2
16.515.3
Auto0.2
Teleop15.0
End0.0
blue by 1.2
5515
#42
16.42.0
14.416.4
Auto0.1
Teleop16.4
End0.0
Third
3184
#60
14.00.8
9.18.2
Auto0.1
Teleop13.9
End0.0
red by 1.2
3292
#27
12.82.0
10.812.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.9
End0.0