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Red34
251810.2
453620.1
527116.1
Blue14
25157.3
28257.3
504115.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453102060801001201403414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4536
#32
20.10.8
17.216.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.3
End0.0
red by 4.7
5041
#47
15.41.3
16.715.4
Auto0.0
Teleop15.3
End0.0
Second
5271
#44
16.10.7
16.916.1
Auto0.2
Teleop15.9
End0.0
red by 8.8
2825
#63
7.31.3
8.77.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.4
End0.0
Third
2518
#49
10.20.5
10.710.2
Auto0.5
Teleop9.7
End0.0
red by 2.9
2515
#62
7.31.5
8.77.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.3
End0.0