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Quarterfinal pool 12015 Minnesota 10000 Lakes Regional
Red120
453620.1
205247.5
419824.2
Blue113
250931.5
218132.2
305819.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80690204060100120140160120113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2052
#6
47.50.6
44.7→45.3
Auto0.5
Teleop47.0
End0.0
red by 15.2
2181
#7
32.20.9
28.7→29.6
Auto0.7
Teleop31.5
End0.0
Second
4198
#16
24.20.9
20.6→21.4
Auto0.1
Teleop24.1
End0.0
blue by 7.2
2509
#9
31.50.7
28.8→29.5
Auto0.7
Teleop30.8
End0.0
Third
4536
#32
20.10.9
16.4→17.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.3
End0.0
red by 0.4
3058
#29
19.70.9
16.2→17.1
Auto0.9
Teleop18.8
End0.0