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Red111
250931.5
218132.2
305819.7
Blue104
543416.5
331329.9
249819.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79570100150111104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.20.7
30.331.1
Auto0.7
Teleop31.5
End0.0
red by 2.4
3313
#11
29.90.9
28.629.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.9
End0.0
Second
31.50.5
30.030.6
Auto0.7
Teleop30.8
End0.0
red by 11.9
2498
#24
19.50.9
18.219.2
Auto0.4
Teleop19.1
End0.0
Third
3058
#29
19.70.7
17.818.5
Auto0.9
Teleop18.8
End0.0
red by 3.2
5434
#38
16.50.9
15.616.6
Auto0.2
Teleop16.3
End0.0