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Qual 122015 Minnesota State Championship
Red129
205250.2
305529.8
253023.3
Blue187
485928.2
251248.2
400934.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98108050150200250300350400129187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2052
Unranked
50.20.0
50.2→50.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop50.4
End0.0
red by 2.0
2512
Unranked
48.20.0
48.2→48.2
Auto8.5
Teleop39.7
End0.0
Second
3055
Unranked
29.80.0
29.8→29.8
Auto0.4
Teleop29.5
End0.0
blue by 4.4
4009
Unranked
34.30.0
34.3→34.3
Auto0.8
Teleop33.5
End0.0
Third
2530
Unranked
23.30.0
23.3→23.3
Auto1.3
Teleop22.0
End0.0
blue by 4.9
4859
Unranked
28.20.0
28.2→28.2
Auto1.0
Teleop27.1
End0.0