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Qual 132015 Minnesota State Championship
Red170
329318.9
477823.0
517240.0
Blue126
327622.1
331329.9
218132.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81804060100120140160170126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5172
Unranked
40.00.0
40.0→40.0
Auto-0.6
Teleop40.6
End0.0
red by 7.8
2181
Unranked
32.20.0
32.2→32.2
Auto0.7
Teleop31.5
End0.0
Second
4778
Unranked
23.00.0
23.0→23.0
Auto1.9
Teleop21.1
End0.0
blue by 6.9
3313
Unranked
29.90.0
29.9→29.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.9
End0.0
Third
3293
Unranked
18.90.0
18.9→18.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.1
End0.0
blue by 3.2
3276
Unranked
22.10.0
22.1→22.1
Auto0.7
Teleop21.4
End0.0