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Red85
563823.7
453942.9
329933.0
Blue86
247222.4
562616.7
313077.7
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions921160501502002503008586

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4539
Unranked
42.90.0
42.942.9
Auto1.3
Teleop41.6
End0.0
blue by 34.8
3130
Unranked
77.70.0
77.777.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop77.7
End0.0
Second
3299
Unranked
33.00.0
33.033.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop33.1
End0.0
red by 10.6
2472
Unranked
22.40.0
22.422.4
Auto0.8
Teleop21.5
End0.0
Third
5638
Unranked
23.70.0
23.723.7
Auto0.3
Teleop23.4
End0.0
red by 6.9
5626
Unranked
16.70.0
16.716.7
Auto0.5
Teleop16.2
End0.0