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Qual 152015 Minnesota State Championship
Red135
543416.5
288349.8
252631.2
Blue104
300741.9
453624.4
181633.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9694406080120140160135104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2883
Unranked
49.80.0
49.8→49.8
Auto2.0
Teleop47.9
End0.0
red by 8.0
3007
Unranked
41.90.0
41.9→41.9
Auto0.5
Teleop41.4
End0.0
Second
2526
Unranked
31.20.0
31.2→31.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop31.5
End0.0
blue by 2.4
1816
Unranked
33.60.0
33.6→33.6
Auto0.2
Teleop33.4
End0.0
Third
5434
Unranked
16.50.0
16.5→16.5
Auto0.2
Teleop16.3
End0.0
blue by 7.9
4536
Unranked
24.40.0
24.4→24.4
Auto0.0
Teleop24.4
End0.0