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Qual 192015 Minnesota State Championship
Red140
331329.9
453942.9
247222.4
Blue150
266725.0
421521.6
251248.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions929190100110120130150140150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4539
Unranked
42.90.0
42.9→42.9
Auto1.3
Teleop41.6
End0.0
blue by 5.3
2512
Unranked
48.20.0
48.2→48.2
Auto8.5
Teleop39.7
End0.0
Second
3313
Unranked
29.90.0
29.9→29.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.9
End0.0
red by 4.8
2667
Unranked
25.00.0
25.0→25.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop25.0
End0.0
Third
2472
Unranked
22.40.0
22.4→22.4
Auto0.8
Teleop21.5
End0.0
red by 0.8
4215
Unranked
21.60.0
21.6→21.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop22.1
End0.0