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Red192
205250.2
288349.8
477823.0
Blue124
525320.2
517240.0
305529.8
84%Model gave it16%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12680050100150200192124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2052
Unranked
50.20.0
50.250.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop50.4
End0.0
red by 10.2
5172
Unranked
40.00.0
40.040.0
Auto-0.6
Teleop40.6
End0.0
Second
2883
Unranked
49.80.0
49.849.8
Auto2.0
Teleop47.9
End0.0
red by 20.0
3055
Unranked
29.80.0
29.829.8
Auto0.4
Teleop29.5
End0.0
Third
4778
Unranked
23.00.0
23.023.0
Auto1.9
Teleop21.1
End0.0
red by 2.8
5253
Unranked
20.20.0
20.220.2
Auto0.5
Teleop19.7
End0.0