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Red122
400934.3
252631.2
525320.2
Blue122
253023.3
313077.7
329318.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75123050100150200250122122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4009
Unranked
34.30.0
34.334.3
Auto0.8
Teleop33.5
End0.0
blue by 43.4
3130
Unranked
77.70.0
77.777.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop77.7
End0.0
Second
2526
Unranked
31.20.0
31.231.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop31.5
End0.0
red by 7.9
2530
Unranked
23.30.0
23.323.3
Auto1.3
Teleop22.0
End0.0
Third
5253
Unranked
20.20.0
20.220.2
Auto0.5
Teleop19.7
End0.0
red by 1.3
3293
Unranked
18.90.0
18.918.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.1
End0.0