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Qual 252015 Minnesota State Championship
Red123
453942.9
288349.8
266725.0
Blue172
329933.0
205250.2
218132.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11411180100120140160123172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2883
Unranked
49.80.0
49.8→49.8
Auto2.0
Teleop47.9
End0.0
blue by 0.3
2052
Unranked
50.20.0
50.2→50.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop50.4
End0.0
Second
4539
Unranked
42.90.0
42.9→42.9
Auto1.3
Teleop41.6
End0.0
red by 9.8
3299
Unranked
33.00.0
33.0→33.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop33.1
End0.0
Third
2667
Unranked
25.00.0
25.0→25.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop25.0
End0.0
blue by 7.2
2181
Unranked
32.20.0
32.2→32.2
Auto0.7
Teleop31.5
End0.0