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Red149
400934.3
313077.7
517240.0
Blue54
251248.2
563823.7
327622.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1597805010020025014954

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3130
Unranked
77.70.0
77.777.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop77.7
End0.0
red by 29.5
2512
Unranked
48.20.0
48.248.2
Auto8.5
Teleop39.7
End0.0
Second
5172
Unranked
40.00.0
40.040.0
Auto-0.6
Teleop40.6
End0.0
red by 16.3
5638
Unranked
23.70.0
23.723.7
Auto0.3
Teleop23.4
End0.0
Third
4009
Unranked
34.30.0
34.334.3
Auto0.8
Teleop33.5
End0.0
red by 12.2
3276
Unranked
22.10.0
22.122.1
Auto0.7
Teleop21.4
End0.0