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Qual 272015 Minnesota State Championship
Red120
247222.4
485928.2
329318.9
Blue84
462427.8
453624.4
266725.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions657605010015020025012084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4859
Unranked
28.20.0
28.2→28.2
Auto1.0
Teleop27.1
End0.0
red by 0.4
4624
Unranked
27.80.0
27.8→27.8
Auto0.4
Teleop27.4
End0.0
Second
2472
Unranked
22.40.0
22.4→22.4
Auto0.8
Teleop21.5
End0.0
blue by 2.6
2667
Unranked
25.00.0
25.0→25.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop25.0
End0.0
Third
3293
Unranked
18.90.0
18.9→18.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.1
End0.0
blue by 5.5
4536
Unranked
24.40.0
24.4→24.4
Auto0.0
Teleop24.4
End0.0