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Qual 282015 Minnesota State Championship
Red150
523220.7
477823.0
252631.2
Blue106
453942.9
525320.2
562616.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7178050100150200250300350400150106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2526
Unranked
31.20.0
31.2→31.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop31.5
End0.0
blue by 11.6
4539
Unranked
42.90.0
42.9→42.9
Auto1.3
Teleop41.6
End0.0
Second
4778
Unranked
23.00.0
23.0→23.0
Auto1.9
Teleop21.1
End0.0
red by 2.8
5253
Unranked
20.20.0
20.2→20.2
Auto0.5
Teleop19.7
End0.0
Third
5232
Unranked
20.70.0
20.7→20.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.0
End0.0
red by 4.0
5626
Unranked
16.70.0
16.7→16.7
Auto0.5
Teleop16.2
End0.0