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Red178
247222.4
300741.9
288349.8
Blue141
400934.3
419810.3
477823.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120550100150200250178141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2883
Unranked
49.80.0
49.849.8
Auto2.0
Teleop47.9
End0.0
red by 15.6
4009
Unranked
34.30.0
34.334.3
Auto0.8
Teleop33.5
End0.0
Second
3007
Unranked
41.90.0
41.941.9
Auto0.5
Teleop41.4
End0.0
red by 18.9
4778
Unranked
23.00.0
23.023.0
Auto1.9
Teleop21.1
End0.0
Third
2472
Unranked
22.40.0
22.422.4
Auto0.8
Teleop21.5
End0.0
red by 12.1
4198
Unranked
10.30.0
10.310.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.6
End0.0