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Red148
266725.0
485928.2
205250.2
Blue170
313077.7
563823.7
331329.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94133050150200250148170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2052
Unranked
50.20.0
50.250.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop50.4
End0.0
blue by 27.5
3130
Unranked
77.70.0
77.777.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop77.7
End0.0
Second
4859
Unranked
28.20.0
28.228.2
Auto1.0
Teleop27.1
End0.0
blue by 1.7
3313
Unranked
29.90.0
29.929.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.9
End0.0
Third
2667
Unranked
25.00.0
25.025.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop25.0
End0.0
red by 1.3
5638
Unranked
23.70.0
23.723.7
Auto0.3
Teleop23.4
End0.0