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Red132
327622.1
517240.0
421521.6
Blue88
562616.7
523220.7
253023.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8654010015013288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5172
Unranked
40.00.0
40.040.0
Auto-0.6
Teleop40.6
End0.0
red by 16.7
2530
Unranked
23.30.0
23.323.3
Auto1.3
Teleop22.0
End0.0
Second
3276
Unranked
22.10.0
22.122.1
Auto0.7
Teleop21.4
End0.0
red by 1.4
5232
Unranked
20.70.0
20.720.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.0
End0.0
Third
4215
Unranked
21.60.0
21.621.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop22.1
End0.0
red by 4.9
5626
Unranked
16.70.0
16.716.7
Auto0.5
Teleop16.2
End0.0