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Qual 392015 Minnesota State Championship
Red200
218132.2
251248.2
453942.9
Blue138
525320.2
543416.5
453624.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132450100150200250200138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2512
Unranked
48.20.0
48.2→48.2
Auto8.5
Teleop39.7
End0.0
red by 23.8
4536
Unranked
24.40.0
24.4→24.4
Auto0.0
Teleop24.4
End0.0
Second
4539
Unranked
42.90.0
42.9→42.9
Auto1.3
Teleop41.6
End0.0
red by 22.7
5253
Unranked
20.20.0
20.2→20.2
Auto0.5
Teleop19.7
End0.0
Third
2181
Unranked
32.20.0
32.2→32.2
Auto0.7
Teleop31.5
End0.0
red by 15.7
5434
Unranked
16.50.0
16.5→16.5
Auto0.2
Teleop16.3
End0.0