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Red104
251248.2
253023.3
252631.2
Blue30
327622.1
419810.3
453942.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1056705015020010430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2512
Unranked
48.20.0
48.248.2
Auto8.5
Teleop39.7
End0.0
red by 5.3
4539
Unranked
42.90.0
42.942.9
Auto1.3
Teleop41.6
End0.0
Second
2526
Unranked
31.20.0
31.231.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop31.5
End0.0
red by 9.1
3276
Unranked
22.10.0
22.122.1
Auto0.7
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Third
2530
Unranked
23.30.0
23.323.3
Auto1.3
Teleop22.0
End0.0
red by 13.0
4198
Unranked
10.30.0
10.310.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.6
End0.0